Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.761456 0.854548 0.955808 1.074333 1.209517 1.359189 1.537853
2025-02-09 0.618850 0.745628 0.894866 1.084375 1.319840 1.604358 1.976562
2025-02-16 0.537976 0.679010 0.853896 1.088405 1.397201 1.793476 2.346212
2025-02-23 0.486314 0.637505 0.833160 1.107631 1.487062 1.999449 2.754567
2025-03-02 0.430400 0.582023 0.785257 1.081265 1.507512 2.108514 3.036955
2025-03-09 0.400573 0.557441 0.774662 1.102315 1.592585 2.312749 3.476617
2025-03-16 0.366280 0.522544 0.745141 1.091364 1.627262 2.443633 3.817498
2025-03-23 0.342820 0.500626 0.731500 1.101201 1.692237 2.624679 4.256724
2025-03-30 0.316111 0.471257 0.703677 1.085652 1.714298 2.737968 4.594967
2025-04-06 0.294821 0.448167 0.683098 1.078860 1.748542 2.872764 4.984194
2025-04-13 0.267120 0.412823 0.640336 1.031778 1.710134 2.879264 5.142287
2025-04-20 0.255053 0.401330 0.634537 1.045172 1.775737 3.072079 5.667234
2025-04-27 0.244440 0.391670 0.631382 1.063517 1.853243 3.297145 6.290137
2025-05-04 0.232673 0.379226 0.622605 1.071230 1.912300 3.494774 6.887001
2025-05-11 0.221400 0.366699 0.612550 1.075416 1.964580 3.684162 7.491795
2025-05-18 0.213503 0.359346 0.610789 1.094365 2.046493 3.940045 8.274501
2025-05-25 0.199341 0.339990 0.586267 1.068353 2.037265 4.009895 8.653720
2025-06-01 0.193206 0.334495 0.586273 1.089122 2.123746 4.287526 9.548751
2025-06-08 0.183134 0.321163 0.570872 1.078318 2.143874 4.425195 10.131942
2025-06-15 0.176557 0.313803 0.566040 1.088023 2.207824 4.665400 11.001414
2025-06-22 0.167289 0.300812 0.549597 1.072681 2.216122 4.780965 11.572879
2025-06-29 0.159736 0.290599 0.537814 1.065980 2.242670 4.941263 12.285362
2025-07-06 0.148115 0.271900 0.508252 1.019524 2.175567 4.873194 12.374163